The Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures the change in the price of goods and services from the perspective of the consumer. It is a key way to measure changes in purchasing trends and inflation. The "Core" CPI excludes volatile food and energy costs to reveal the underlying inflation trend.
| Condition | USD Value | Gold (XAU/USD) | Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual > Forecast (Inflation rises) | 🟢 Typically strengthens | 🔴 Typically weakens | 🔴 Typically weakens |
| Actual < Forecast (Inflation drops) | 🔴 Typically weakens | 🟢 Typically strengthens | 🟢 Typically strengthens |
| Date (UTC) | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug 2026, 01:30 | 3.6% | — | 3.6% | — |
| 29 Jul 2026, 01:30 | 3.7% | — | 3.5% | — |
| 24 Jun 2026, 01:30 | 3.6% | — | 3.4% | — |
| 27 May 2026, 01:30 | 3.5% | — | 3.5% | — |
| 29 Apr 2026, 01:30 | 3.5% | — | 3.5% | — |
| 25 Mar 2026, 00:30 | 3.5% | — | 3.6% | — |
| 25 Feb 2026, 00:30 | 3.6% | — | 3.6% | — |
| 28 Jan 2026, 00:30 | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | +0.2 |
| 07 Jan 2026, 00:30 | 3.4% | — | 3.4% | — |
| 26 Nov 2025, 00:30 | 3.4% | — | 3.3% | — |
| 29 Oct 2025, 00:30 | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | +0.1 |
| 30 Jul 2025, 01:30 | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 0 |
Surprise is actual minus forecast, in the indicator's own units. It is what happened, not a prediction.
Spreads widen and fills slip in the minutes around a scheduled release, which distorts a validation run's entry prices. Treat forward results that straddle this window with care — they are not comparable to a backtest that never saw it.
High-impact releases are posted to the channel 15 minutes ahead, and again with the actual figure once it prints.